Saliency-Aware Interpolative Augmentation for Multimodal Financial Prediction

Samyak Jain, Parth Chhabra, Atula Tejaswi Neerkaje, Puneet Mathur, Ramit Sawhney, Shivam Agarwal, Preslav Nakov, Sudheer Chava, Dinesh Manocha


Abstract
Predicting price variations of financial instruments for risk modeling and stock trading is challenging due to the stochastic nature of the stock market. While recent advancements in the Financial AI realm have expanded the scope of data and methods they use, such as textual and audio cues from financial earnings calls, limitations exist. Most datasets are small, and show domain distribution shifts due to the nature of their source, suggesting the exploration for data augmentation for robust augmentation strategies such as Mixup. To tackle such challenges in the financial domain, we propose SH-Mix: Saliency-guided Hierarchical Mixup augmentation technique for multimodal financial prediction tasks. SH-Mix combines multi-level embedding mixup strategies based on the contribution of each modality and context subsequences. Through extensive quantitative and qualitative experiments on financial earnings and conference call datasets consisting of text and speech, we show that SH-Mix outperforms state-of-the-art methods by 3-7%. Additionally, we show that SH-Mix is generalizable across different modalities and models.
Anthology ID:
2024.lrec-main.1244
Volume:
Proceedings of the 2024 Joint International Conference on Computational Linguistics, Language Resources and Evaluation (LREC-COLING 2024)
Month:
May
Year:
2024
Address:
Torino, Italia
Editors:
Nicoletta Calzolari, Min-Yen Kan, Veronique Hoste, Alessandro Lenci, Sakriani Sakti, Nianwen Xue
Venues:
LREC | COLING
SIG:
Publisher:
ELRA and ICCL
Note:
Pages:
14285–14297
Language:
URL:
https://aclanthology.org/2024.lrec-main.1244
DOI:
Bibkey:
Cite (ACL):
Samyak Jain, Parth Chhabra, Atula Tejaswi Neerkaje, Puneet Mathur, Ramit Sawhney, Shivam Agarwal, Preslav Nakov, Sudheer Chava, and Dinesh Manocha. 2024. Saliency-Aware Interpolative Augmentation for Multimodal Financial Prediction. In Proceedings of the 2024 Joint International Conference on Computational Linguistics, Language Resources and Evaluation (LREC-COLING 2024), pages 14285–14297, Torino, Italia. ELRA and ICCL.
Cite (Informal):
Saliency-Aware Interpolative Augmentation for Multimodal Financial Prediction (Jain et al., LREC-COLING 2024)
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PDF:
https://aclanthology.org/2024.lrec-main.1244.pdf
Optional supplementary material:
 2024.lrec-main.1244.OptionalSupplementaryMaterial.zip